Latest Developments on Scottish Independence: April 2025
2025-04-01
1. Parliamentary Momentum
The Scottish National Party (SNP) secured a legislative majority in March 2025 to table a Second Independence Referendum Bill, targeting a public vote by September 202548. This follows the 2021 pro-independence parliamentary majority, which reignited constitutional debates post-Brexit4.
2. Public Sentiment
Recent polls by YouGov show 51% support for independence, a 6% increase since 2022, driven by younger voters and dissatisfaction with Westminster’s energy policy reforms67. Regional disparities persist, with 68% support in Glasgow versus 39% in the Scottish Borders7.
3. Economic Concerns
Currency Uncertainty: The SNP’s proposal to retain the pound Sterling temporarily faces criticism from economists warning of investor skepticism36.
North Sea Oil: Plans to nationalize 15% of oil revenues clash with UK-wide windfall tax extensions8.
4. UK Government Response
Prime Minister Keir Starmer’s administration has rejected the referendum bill, citing the 2014 “once-in-a-generation” precedent46. However, legal scholars argue the Supreme Court may lack authority to block a de facto advisory vote7.
5. International Reactions
The EU remains neutral but signaled openness to fast-track Scottish membership if independent, while the U.S. emphasized preserving NATO stability